November 07, 2006
My Predictions
It's probably not worth much, but my prediction is that the Republicans will very likely hold on to both houses, perhaps by the slimist of margins, but hold on never-the-less. I also predict that the Democrats will, along with the able biased reporting of the majority of the left leaning MSM claim that "We wuz robbed!"
I have spoken!
Posted by gmroper at November 7, 2006 12:30 PM | TrackBackMy predictions are same as yours. And, assuredly, the MSM will hghlight "voter fraud" in Republican areas that win. I wonder if they will look at Memphis, TN, a Democratic stronghold, where a dozen of more computer machine voter cards are missing. These cards can be programmed to fool the voting machines.
Posted by DADvocate at November 7, 2006 01:19 PM
I'd be surprised if the Democrats regain control of either the Senate or the House. People (real people... not just liberals) are unhappy with the current administration but they aren't quite ready to pull the trigger just yet. Maybe in '08.
Posted by e. nonee moose at November 7, 2006 01:28 PM
ok my friend in that case..can u precict if I will lose 5 lbs by the weekend?..LOL..keep votin pple!!!
Posted by Angel at November 7, 2006 02:10 PM
Just as I predicted, the Democrat's lawyers are already screaming "foul" and wanting the polls to stay open later. Of course, this was all pre-planned rather than a reaction to events.
http://www.indystar.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20061107/LOCAL19/61107003
"Marion County (Indiana)Democratic Chairman Ed Treacy blasted Republican election officials for what he declared was the "criminal" way in which they are running today's election.
"Providing lists to reporters to back up his assertions,Treacy said 20 Republican-appointed precinct inspectors failed to show up to open polls this morning and machine problems were reported in 173 precincts.
"As we predicted, it was utter chaos this morning and we're furious," he told reporters outside the Marion County Election Board office. "People were turned away. I was telling everyone this was going to happen, and everyone thinks I'm living in some fantasyland. There is criminal intent in doing this stuff."
"He said Democratic attorneys were determining how the party would respond. In addition,Treacy said Democrats are poring over lists of poll workers to identify those who are not registered to vote in Marion County. He will ask that they be prosecuted."
http://www.tennessean.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20061107/NEWS0206/61107022
"Lawyers with the Tennessee Democratic Party will file suit early this afternoon asking that voting hours be extended due to reports of infrastructure problems, a party spokesman said.
"The party has received reports that some precincts lacked enough voting machines, voting machines that are not working, long lines and delays in the openings of polling paces, said the spokesman Mark Brown.
"Brown said he did not yet know which court party lawyers would file suit in, but said it would be in Davidson County at about 1:30 p.m.
"Lawyers had not yet decided whether they would ask that all polls remain open later or ask only that polls in certain regions of the state be open later."
When the game is over, it's over. Yet, the Democrats stay on the field and keep running in players until their score is the highest.
Posted by Woody at November 7, 2006 02:42 PM
My predictions: continued bitter partisan divisions through the 2008 election, an increasingly lame-duck president, and more global warming from the hot air spewing from politicians and pundits.
Posted by civil truth at November 7, 2006 02:47 PM
Want to read the text of a great ad run in the Atlanta area?
"This is Congressman John Lewis."
"And I'm Mayor Shirley Franklin"
"And I'm Andy Young"
(John Lewis) "On November 7th we face the most dangerous situation we ever have. If you think fighting off dogs and water hoses in the sixties was bad, imagine if we sit idly by and let the right-wing Republicans take control of the Fulton County Commision."
(Shirley Franklin) "The efforts of Martin and Coretta King, Hosea Williams, Maynard Jackson and many others will be lost. That's why we must stand up and we must turn out the vote for the Democrats on Election Day."
(Andy Young) "And especially for John Eaves for Fulton County Commission Chairman. Unless you want them to turn back the clock on equal rights and human rights and economic opportunity for all of us, vote for John Eaves as Fulton County Chairman"
(Lewis) "Your very life may depend on it."
(John Eaves) "This message paid for by the committee to elect John Eaves."
Heck, I was hoping for some lynchings, but if white folks aren't elected what can you do?
Posted by Woody at November 7, 2006 05:30 PM
I hope you nattering nabobs of positivism are right.
I (always plan for the worst case) think the Dems will take the House and maybe the Senate.
If that happens, I think the Reps ought very quickly figure out why they angered the voting public. Further, there ought be a massive education program. People actually believe that the Dems are the party of the "little people." We have dumped trillions of dollars into "programs" and our education system is worse, our drug problem is worse, our border security is worse. We are becoming a self-imposed 2nd rate power, even though we have more and better of damn near everything. Why, pray, is that? We, as individuals and as a nation, need (desparately) to toughen up.
Lastly, I think everyone ought be leaning in on the Dems and asking, just EXACTLY how are you going to protect our country and the people therein? I would like specifics and details...without compromising security.
If we go the self-absorbed model that Europe seems to be providing, then we will surely lose...everything.
Posted by tad at November 7, 2006 06:30 PM
I predict a real spanking! :)
Aside from that, I recommend to all my conservative friends (not neo-cons; they're
hopeless) the article on Congress in the latest issue of Rolling Stone. A terrific article, in a magazine I haven't read in over 25 years.
Posted by jim hitchcock at November 7, 2006 07:18 PM
But, however it turns out, I will continue to salute GM and Woody as two of the good guys..
Posted by jim hitchcock at November 7, 2006 07:24 PM
Jim, as are you my friend, even if you are a lib. ;-P
Posted by GM at November 7, 2006 07:37 PM
If Lamont vs. Lieberman in the Democratic primary was a referendum on Iraq, as the Democrats hailed it, then what do they call Lieberman beating Lamont in the general election where everyone, and not just left-wingers, get to vote?
I was watching some show on MSNBC in which they went person by person through the Democrats and the committees that they would control. It was pretty ugly. The clincher was when they showed Pelosi with Sheehan.
Will someone wake me up in two years?
P.S. Thanks, Jim. The feelings mutual. At least we all like baseball.
Posted by Woody at November 7, 2006 08:58 PM
I'm cutting it off for the evening. The interesting thing at this point isn't who won but the spin on why. It's historical for the party of the President to lose such ground in these mid-year elections. Yet, in checking over at Marc Cooper's and listening on the TV, you would have thought that the vote is a total repudiation of conservatism. That's a really false conclusion, and, if the Democrats really believe it and act that way, then they will become the minority party in both houses once again come 2008.
With the Democrats back with power, people may be reminded why we threw them out years ago.
I have to go to bed.
"Say goodnight, Dick."
"Goodnight, Dick."
Hey, I have to come up with something from Laugh-In, because I'm not laughing from anything else.
Posted by Woody at November 7, 2006 09:36 PM
"It's historical for the party of the President to lose such ground in these mid-year elections."
Not in the last twenty years, it's not - primarily because of the amount of gerrymandering and the increasingly large sums of money funneled into protecting incumbents. The typical shift has been about 5 seats in the last couple of decades. '94 was the only big shift since the early '70s and it was considered a historic victory for the GOP. Try getting your facts straight. You're so mired in the talking points, you can't see straight and just pass along disinformation that you probably actually believe yourself.
Posted by reg at November 7, 2006 10:24 PM
Gloating time! Let me give you some guys some advice: hang up the hats now. It's time to quit. Republican ideas have failed. It's Canada for you. On second thought, they may not want you. You could try Italia. But Pope aside, they're a bit sexually permissive. I know! We could dig a hole in the earth and you could just hang out there. A strangelovian plan for the nuclear holocost brought on by Democratic appeasers. It'll be perfect. Especially for me.
p.s. just kidding. I figure we owed you guys from last time. :)
Posted by Mavis Beacon at November 8, 2006 12:34 AM
Hey there GM, guess who? Yep, its that lefty troll again.
Ive just seen the results of the house of Reps in the good ol U.S.of A. What do you reckon GM, theres a lot more of us trolls out there bud. and they all vote!!!
Dubya got his arse kicked and with a bit of luck he will get it kicked again in the Senate.
I'm so happy I think I'll open a bottle of Chivas Regal.
Have a nice day!.
Magnarc (the troll) Ho! Ho! Ho!
Posted by Magnarc at November 8, 2006 02:08 AM
Not to rub salt into the wounds but I was one of those who took the lose both in GM's earlier poll on this. Damn I should have put my money where my ideas were.
I also have commented that it is quite likely a 'good' thing that this bloodletting occurred now rather than later as far as a viable Republican Party is concerned. 2008 is IMPORTANT. 2006 not so much.
I hate to burst Magnarc's balloon so early in the day, but a 'lefty troll' should perhaps not get too excited about this result. Many if not most of the 'gains' were the result of 'conservative' Democrats winning in 'conservative' areas. This is far more attributable to complete disenchantment with the bankrupt Republican apparatus and IRAQ than it is to a wave of support for the leftist loons in the Democratic Party. These new guys may have a "D" after their name, but they have nothing in common with the 'progressive' wing of the Party. Has Magnarc even looked at Jim Webb's positioning on social issues?
Somehow I have a really hard time seeing the new wave of blue-dog Democrats having a long lifespan within the Democratic Party as it is now constituted. Perhaps these people will help to move the Party away from the 'nutroots', but the smart money is on them becoming very upset with the Rangels, Conyers, Waxmans,Finegolds in a very short period of time.
Ah well, win some lose some. This was inevitable given the situation in the world. The Republicans can be grateful that they faced the opposition they did or it would have been a GREAT DEAL WORSE. They DESERVED to lose HUGE, but were saved by the other team.
ps --- The reason that Iraq and the WOT were not sufficient to again defeat the Democrats is that many people are not at all HAPPY about the prosecution of the effort and think that if losing is truly not an option, a drastic change of course is long overdue. This was merely a kick where it will do the most good to an Administration that appears to be ineffectual . People can tolerate a lot but as Patton rightly said---- " Americans love a winner and will not tolerate a loser."
The tolerance just ran out.
Posted by dougf at November 8, 2006 06:53 AM
Woah... who know there were so many closet lefties here at GM's Corner? :)
I'm not going to gloat or anything and in fact I'm more than mildly surprised at the results so far. Yeah, the American people have spoken... yadda, yadda, yadda... but I don't expect dramatic changes in how things are done with Democrats in control of the House (and maybe the Senate.)
Posted by e. nonee moose at November 8, 2006 07:06 AM
reg, historically, the party out of power makes gains in mid-term elections. But, to be more precise about what I meant, I was actually thinking about Presidents who are mid-way through their second terms; i.e., the sixth year. As I remember, both Reagan and Clinton suffered such fates with Congress. Of course, I'm not going got take the time to get all sorts of election analyses to sway you, as it's simply not worth my time.
Also, to use the term "talking points" with me assumes that I somehow obtain ideas and words from outside sources. I listen to talk radio less than you think, don't open political mail, dropped my subscription to the AJC, and don't waste time listening to Sunday talk shows. What I say is what comes from my mind--not that of others. That's why it's so, what the word?, original.
Posted by Woody at November 8, 2006 08:16 AM
Well! my goodness, look what happened. Do you suppose that some of the actual majority actually got fired up enough to go vote?
Posted by James S Melbert at November 8, 2006 08:55 AM
In looking at the other comments from the left, it reminds me of the Alabama-Mississippi State game last week. Alabama holds a "slight" edge of 72-15-3 in the series with State. Mississippi State had nothing but losing seasons over recent years, but they took on a traditional powerhouse and took advantage of Alabama turnovers and injuries to pull out the win. Of course, the State fans went nuts--just like the liberals above and elsewhere. They just had more class and are smart enough to know that upsets won't happen every year, so they didn't rub it in too much.
And, Mavis, it's not conservatives who abandon their country when the opposition party wins. And, why is Barbra Streisand and Alex Baldwin still here after they said they would leave if Bush was elected?
Posted by Woody at November 8, 2006 08:57 AM
Yes James, the same MAJORITY that got fired up and voted in 94, 96, 98, 2000, 2002, 2004, and 2006. The difference is, IMO is that the Republican's threw this one away because of a lack of listening to conservatives and voting like Dems. The voting public in essence said "Hell, if I'm gonna have a dem in congress, I might as well vote for the real thing." Of course, I told this to the republicans back in April of this year. go back and read.
Posted by GM at November 8, 2006 04:53 PM
More in response to reg's denial that the Democrat's pickups are consistent with history, particularly the sixth year mid-term elections of Presidents....
In Franklin D. Roosevelt's sixth year in 1938, Democrats lost 71 seats in the House and six in the Senate.
In Dwight Eisenhower's sixth year in 1958, Republicans lost 47 House seats, 13 in the Senate.
In John F. Kennedy/Lyndon Johnson's sixth year, Democrats lost 47 seats in the House and three in the Senate.
In Richard Nixon/Gerald Ford's sixth year in office in 1974, Republicans lost 43 House seats and three Senate seats.
Even America's greatest president, Ronald Reagan, lost five House seats and eight Senate seats in his sixth year in office.
http://www.townhall.com/columnists/column.aspx?UrlTitle=historic_victory_for_diebold!&ns=AnnCoulter&dt=11/08/2006&page=full&comments=true
Posted by Woody at November 9, 2006 08:38 AM
