October 04, 2007

Can Hillary Get The Nomination, Or Even Win?

Can Hillary get elected? Or, should I say Hillary can't get elected? And that is not my conservative voice speaking, it is an honest question as to the electability of first as a female, and secondly as a controversial female.

Look, the facts are that she can very likely get the Democrat Party nomination, that is not the scope of this article. But once nominated? And therein lies the question. Currently the Washington Times Donald Lambro writes Game, Set, Match ... for Hillary? and notes that in 31 vulnerable congressional districts for Democrats, Hillary is running behind Rudy Giuliani:

But some Democrats wonder whether her polarizing image and high negatives will also hurt their most vulnerable candidates down ballot."

"A little-noticed August survey by Democratic pollster Celinda Lake showed Mr. Giuliani leading Mrs. Clinton (49 percent to 39 percent) in 31 vulnerable Democratic-held congressional districts and possibly eroding their re-election chances. Mr. Giuliani's margin is closer against Mr. Obama (41 percent to 40 percent)."

While a 10 point lead this early in the process is nothing significant, it is telling that this lead is in districts where the Democrat could lose and thus, the house may once again change hands even if she did with those districts. How would a polarizing figure like Hillary manage with a congress or the Senate not in her corner? And that is precisely the fear of many Democrat leaders.

Add to this, an American dislike for a dynastic political base such as from a Bush to a Clinton to a Bush to a Clinton (though this has indeed happened from time to time in some places on a much smaller scale) would seem to preclude Hillary being able to carry the day. And yet, there were those who also said the same when George W. Bush ran in 2000 (and though he won the Electoral Vote, he lost the Popular Vote) perhaps, in part, for that very reason. Perhaps that is why Hillary is running by her first name only - she doesn't want to be identified as being the spouse of Bill Clinton or at least not when people think of the candidate. She wants them to think of HILLARY, not Hillary CLINTON

Too, we must also take a look at the perception of a troubled world with rogue states such as Iran and North Korea, unstable countries as in parts of South East Asia, Latin America and Africa, the likelihood of a resurgent Russia and a nuclear armed Iran let alone the war in Iraq are people ready to entrust the safety of this country to a woman and a democrat? Oh nonsense the Democrats will say, but the reality is that there is still a mistrust of Democrats when it comes to foreign policy and security and actions such as pulled by the Speaker of the House making trips to Syria against White House advice, a nasty reception for a General who had been unanimously confirmed by those same Democrats for purely partisan reasons. Who Hillary all but called a liar to his face when she said she must "...suspend disbelief" regarding his testimony (and this from a GENERAL who has forgotten more military strategy and tactics then Hillary will ever know). And let us not forget a continuing cry to "surrender" or at least "negotiate from weakness" with the islamo-fascists." Those are very real problems for Hillary to overcome.

Add to this, a perception by the public that Hillary has eagerly sought "dirty money" from bundlers such as Norman Hsu, Oscar Wyatt, John R. Burgess and William Danielczyk. And this is the tip of the iceberg. Is Captain Hillary on board the SS Titanic-Bundler? Perhaps she is now looking into how much she ought to rent the Lincoln bedroom for.

But, money worries aside, she still faces a civil suit in regards to one Peter Paul's fundraising. Perhaps, given the "smoking gun" video, she will end up having to testify. Won't that be interesting to hear her deny that it is her on the other end of the phone conversation videotaped with a substantial number of witnesses. But, no doubt that Hillary will state to counsel '"It all depends on what you mean by 'my voice'."

Recently, much ado has been made of her "laugh" described by many as a cackle and defended by others as a genuine "belly laugh." I've heard it, and to be honest, it doesn't sound like a "cackle" to me, but it sure does sound contrived.

All of this put together yields a picture of a woman who claims to have always been a Yankee fan despite having grown up with the Chicago Cubs (and which hat will she wear if those two clubs end up in the World Series, but I really don't care, I'm a Boston Red Sox fan myself), who says she was named after Sir Edmund Hillary. She may have been, but if so she was named after a bee keeper in that she was born some years before he became famous for climbing Mt. Everest. And that underscores another problem for Hillary. She seems more wishy-washy than even that master of the Flip-Flop John "Do you know who I am?" Kerry. If there are two major issues you can be sure Hillary has at least 12 or 13 opinions over a three to six month period of time. People notice that.

I also suspect that her support, except from the wild, wild left and the nutroots supporter George Soros that people will forget about voting for Hillary once the curtain is pulled in the voting booth. Only time will tell and you can bet that I'll be there every step of the way in chronicling it.

Posted by GM Roper at October 4, 2007 08:39 PM

it is an honest question as to the electability of first as a female

Can't wait to hear your commentary on the electability of Barack Obama.

Posted by e. nonee moose at October 5, 2007 06:01 AM

I don't think she'll win the national election. I really don't. When it gets right down to the nitty gritties, people will not vote for her. Sexist? Maybe- but these are not the right times for a woman to be President.

Posted by Raven at October 5, 2007 06:39 AM

I never want to even hear the name Clinton or Bush again. Enough is enough.

The prospect of 8 more years of a Clinton complete with Bill and the coterie of spinmeisters from the 90s is downright depressing.

An that's without even considering that Hilary probably sees the Presidency as something closer to Chairman of the Politburo than CEO of a democratic republic.

Posted by Peter Boston at October 5, 2007 07:03 AM

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